Time and Truth

© 2000 Joe Murray

I want to wish everyone a belated happy New Year as I write to you on my old obsolete, non-Y2k compliant 486 computer that unfortunately just happens to be working as good as it ever has. I have to admit, part of me was hoping that mythical Y2K bug would completely destroy the old hunk of junk so I would have a good excuse to buy a new one. I waited 10 days to comment in order to give the computer the chance to self-destruct, but it hasn’t done it. When it does fall apart, it will be because it is old and worn out. If it really could think that time was rolled backed, then it may even last longer because it wouldn’t know it was old. Of course, that is an absurd notion, but it makes about as much sense as some of the Y2K hysteria.

Yes, it is time for the admittedly childish pleasure of saying, “See, I told you so.” I point you back to the pages of Sodbuster from last February. I quote myself:

The reality that rational people need to spread is Y2K is a minor problem. Computers crash every day, including in utilities and airports. We even have power failures because of computer glitches on a regular basis. Disaster doesn’t occur because they all have manual overrides. In banks, certificate of deposits, mortgages etc. already are being issued with maturity rates far well into the next century and the computers that handle the records have no problem with this, so there is no reason to believe that there will be any serious technical disaster. If enough people will have common sense and spread the word in time, there should be no catastrophic results due to the Y2K problem.

In hindsight, my only regret is that I may have still overestimated the problem. Oh, I believe that a good share of the billions spent on upgrading computer systems was wisely spent, but I also think a great deal of money was wasted. B.F. Skinner once said, “The real problem is not whether machines think but whether men do.” The thinking people took reasonable steps to inform themselves. Then, they fixed a manageable problem where it actually existed and did nothing where a problem didn’t exist.

Those who didn’t take the time to develop a reasonable understanding of the problem went loony hording food, buying wood stoves and electrical generators, or going to hide in the wilderness. As the ancient philosopher Euripides once said, “Talk sense to a fool and he calls you foolish.”

I admit I considered filling a couple jugs of water New Year’s Eve, just in case. I was about to make the common human mistake spoken of by Winston Churchill: “Man will occasionally stumble over the truth, but most times he will pick himself up and carry on. “ Fortunately, I quickly returned to my senses, trusted my brain and did nothing. As Charles Schultz once said, “Don’t worry about the world coming to an end today. It’s already tomorrow in Australia.” Sadly, Schultz is retiring the Peanuts comic strip. Being in a childish mood, this event was more notable than the Y2K scam and the premature millennium celebrations.

Ok, I know many of you had a big blowout to celebrate the end of the 2nd millennium and start of the third millennium. The bad news is that, by all historical and scientific accounts, the new millennium doesn’t start until Jan. 1, 2001. The good news is that you have an excuse to have another big bash when the event actually occurs.

If those of you who watched around-the-clock coverage on TV of the supposed coming of the new millennium still doubt me, I site the statements of both the national and international official time keepers. The official time keeper for the nation is the U.S. Navel Observatory who gives this simple explanation: “Years of the Gregorian Calendar, which is currently in use today, are counted from AD 1. Thus, the 1st century comprised the years AD 1 through AD 100. The second century began with AD 101 and continued through AD 200. By extrapolation, we find that the 20th century comprises the year AD 1901-2000. The 3rd millennium will begin with AD 2001 and continue through AD 3000.”

For international confirmation that we are still living in the 2nd millennium, we go to the Royal Observatory in Greenwich England of Greenwich/Prime Meridian fame. If you don’t know the significance of that, then you are probably a public school graduate.  So, go to their web site and read through the material. Back on point, here is their answer to the question of when the 21st century begins:

A millennium is an interval 1000 years and a century is an interval of 100 years. In the Gregorian Calendar, which we use, there is no year zero and the sequence of years near the star runs as follows;...3BC, 2BC, 1BC, 1AD, 2 AD,...Because there is no year zero, the first year of the calendar ends at the end of the year named 1AD. By a similar argument 100 years will only have elapsed at the end of the year 100AD. Since 2000AD is the 2,000th year of the Christian calendar, it will be the last year of the Second Millennium. So the 3rd Millennium and the 2st Century will begin at the same moment, namely zero hours UTS (commonly known as GMT) on January 1st 2001.

Clearly, we are living in the final year of the 2nd millennium and the final year of the 20th century. I believe this to be the truth and don’t think it can be refuted, but would gladly change my mind if someone can prove otherwise. I share the quest for truth of the old Roman Emperor, Marcus Aurelius Antonius: “If any man can convince me and bring home to me that I do not think or act aright, gladly will I change; for I search after truth, by which man never yet was harmed. But he is harmed who abideth still in his deception and ignorance.”

In one sense, this is all just trivial pursuit, but it is just a small sample of a cavalier attitude toward truth that is pervasive in our country. Worse still, the “boy who cried wolf” mentality that was demonstrated in the Y2K hysteria fans the flames of ignorance and/or makes people so apathetic that many couldn’t recognize when a real crisis was brewing. The mass media and current president are the worst offenders.

We do live in the information age when you can find a million answers to any question. The problem is that few of them are the correct answer. You have to dig through a garbage dump to find a jewel of truth. The good news is that there are more jewels to find than at any other time in history. The individual challenge is to develop the wisdom to know the difference.  

To February's article referenced above

To Joe's previous article

 

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